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Monday, December 3
Updated: December 4, 5:50 PM ET
 
BCS confirms it: Vols control own destiny

ESPN.com news services

Tennessee's mission is now a straightforward one: win the SEC title game Saturday and the Volunteers will meet Miami for the national championship in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 3.

Inside the BCS
ESPN.com Inside the BCS writer Brad Edwards' picks for the BCS bowls:

If Tennessee wins ...
Rose Bowl presented by AT&T: Tennessee vs. Miami
Fed Ex Orange Bowl: Florida vs. Maryland
Nokia Sugar Bowl: Nebraska vs. Illinois
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oregon vs. Colorado

If Tennessee loses ...
Rose Bowl presented by AT&T: Nebraska vs. Miami
Fed Ex Orange Bowl: Florida vs. Maryland
Nokia Sugar Bowl: Illinois vs. LSU
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oregon vs. Colorado

  • Complete Inside the BCS
  • The Vols jumped from sixth to second in the Bowl Championship Series standings released Monday, thanks to a 34-32 victory over former No. 2 Florida on Saturday. Nebraska is third, despite not playing in the Big 12 title game -- one spot ahead of Colorado, which moved from seventh to fourth on the basis of a 39-37 win over Texas to win the Big 12 championship.

    Nebraska is perhaps on the verge of its greatest comeback ever thanks to the BCS standings.

    The Cornhuskers, all but out of the national title chase after a 62-36 loss to Colorado on Nov. 23, would play No. 1 Miami in the BCS championship game if LSU beats Tennessee on Saturday.

    The BCS standings confirmed as much, ranking Miami, Tennessee and Nebraska ahead of fourth-place Colorado and fifth-place Oregon.

    Expect Huskers fans everywhere to learn the words to "Tiger Rag" and tune in when LSU (8-3) plays Tennessee (10-1).

    The Vols, favored by seven points, can prevent what is certain to create a huge controversy by winning.

    Miami (11-0) has 2.50 points in the BCS rankings, Tennessee 4.79 points, Nebraska (11-1) 8.39 points, Colorado (10-2) 9.88 points, and Pac-10 champion Oregon (10-1) has 10.44 points.

    Nebraska coach Frank Solich said his team deserves to be third in the standings, adding that unlike Miami, Tennessee and Oregon, his team didn't have any close-call victories.

    "All of the games we won, we won by at least 10 points. We did not have to win a game by having a lucky bounce or a field goal at the end," Solich said. "None of them came down to a 2-point conversion or went into overtime. The games were really decided either before or the middle of the fourth quarter."

    And what about the loss to the Buffaloes? "We should have and could have played better," he said. "Colorado is an excellent football team that is playing outstanding right now."

    BCS officials must be hoping for a Vols' victory to avoid trying to explain how a team can play for a national title even though it couldn't even win its own division of the Big 12 Conference.

    Jerry Palm, who runs a Web site that closely monitors the BCS standings, says Oregon will have the biggest beef.

    "The reaction if Nebraska gets in will be bad," Palm said. "It's hard to understand how a team that doesn't qualify for a conference title gets to play for a national title. Oregon has a stronger argument since Colorado has two losses and that's tough to overcome. But that's kind of the way it goes in the BCS."

    Oregon, despite have just one loss, is hurt by the lowest strength of schedule in the top five teams as well as quality wins. The Ducks and Buffaloes have the same computer average.

    Brigham Young, despite winning its 12th game of the season Saturday, remained 12th in the BCS standings, one point behind No. 11 Maryland.

    Illinois, which has also clinched a BCS berth, is eighth.

    An LSU win also creates the possibility of split national champions. If Oregon wins its BCS game and Nebraska beats Miami in the Rose Bowl, the Ducks could be voted No. 1 in the final AP poll.

    The Associated Press voters cast their final Top 25 ballots following the Rose Bowl, and all I-A teams are eligible to finish No. 1. Not so in the ESPN/USA Today coaches' poll, which automatically crowns the Rose Bowl winner its national champion.

    The BCS standings, set up to determine which teams play in a title game, use a formula that incorporates the AP media and coaches' polls, eight computers, strength of schedule, won-lost record and bonus points for big wins.

    The BCS aligns six major conference champions with four big bowl games, the Rose, Sugar, Fiesta and Orange. Two at-large teams are then selected to fill out the field.

    Nebraska moved into contention following a series of upsets on Saturday. Florida and Texas, second and third in last week's BCS standings, fell out of contention with losses. That allowed the Huskers to improve from fourth to third and the Vols from sixth to second.

    Miami's 2.50-point breakdown was: 1 point for poll average, 1 point for computer average, .60 for strength of schedule, 0 for won-lost record and a .1 bonus-point deduction for a 65-7 win over Washington on Nov. 24. The Hurricanes clinched a Rose Bowl spot with a 26-24 win over Virginia Tech on Saturday.

    The bonus award -- new this season -- is based on a sliding scale from 1.5 points for beating a first-place team down to .1 for a win over the 15th-place team. The bonus is awarded after the other elements are calculated.

    Tennessee (4.79) had 2 points for poll average, 2.83 points for computer average, .16 for strength of schedule, 1 for won-lost record and a 1.2 point bonus deduction for beating sixth-place Florida 34-32 on Saturday.

    Nebraska (8.39) had 4.5 points for poll average, 2.67 for computer average, 0.72 for strength of schedule, 1 for won-lost record and a .5 bonus deduction for beating 11th-place Oklahoma 20-10 on Oct. 27.

    The final BCS standings will be released Dec. 9.

    Information from The Associated Press was used in this report.




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