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Thursday, December 23 War Room: Cardinals at Falcons The War Room Arizona offense vs. Atlanta defense
This week against Atlanta, the Cardinals need to establish the run early in the game to set-up play action for QB Plummer. The Falcons have a talented front seven and this unit will be in Plummer's face all day unless the Cards prove that they can run the ball early. The running game, aside from buying Plummer a little more time, will also force the Atlanta linebackers to play closer to the line of scrimmage, and open up the underneath routes for Arizona's wide receivers and TE Terry Hardy, who was a favorite target of Plummer earlier in the season. Arizona's receivers need to start holding onto the football -- the team dropped eight balls last week against Buffalo and will need to be sharper this week against the Falcons. Atlanta's defense has done a valiant job this season, but the inability of the offense to sustain any drives has left the defense susceptible to big plays later in games. The defense's ability to tackle opposing rushers seems to deteriorate considerably as games progress, and depending on whether QB Chris Chandler is in the line-up, this could be a problem again this week against an Arizona team that boasts a huge offensive line. It is important that Falcon defenders, particularly the front four, don't overpursue against Arizona RB Adrian Murrell. Murrell is a shifty, cutback runner who doesn't hit the holes hard, but waits for daylight and then makes his moves. RDE Lester Archambeau will be matched up against Arizona LOT Matt Joyce, who is filling in for injured starter L.J. Shelton. Archambeau is a veteran, who should be able to use his experience and a combination of moves to take advantage of Joyce, who will be making only his second start as a tackle. If Archambeau can draw double teams or force the Cardinals to keep a tight end or back out of the play to help block him, it should open things up for his linemates, DT Chuck Smith and RDE Shane Dronett. Atlanta offense vs. Arizona defense
The Falcons need to run the football, and the team's best option to do so is RB Winslow Oliver, who has breakaway speed but is undersized at 170 pounds. Oliver's size prevents him from being an every down back, and repeated hits from opposing linebackers make Oliver a threat to turn the football over. He has three fumbles in the last two weeks. Atlanta needs to game-plan to get Oliver the ball in space, where his speed and escape ability make him a more dangerous weapon, so look for the Falcons to throw the ball to Oliver in the flat early. Whoever starts at QB will be missing a valuable weapon this weekend, as WR Tim Dwight will probably not step on the field again this season. Dwight has deep speed and is one of the few players on the Falcon roster who is capable of stretching a defense. This leaves the team with WR's Jammi German and rookie Eugene Baker, neither of whom is a gamebreaker. Arizona's defense looked like a different unit without DT Eric Swann in the line-up. The Cardinals had been solid against the run with Swann playing about 40% of the team's downs, but when Swann didn't play last weekend against Buffalo, Arizona's run defense looked downright porous. Luckily for the Cardinals, they will be facing one of the worst rushing teams in the NFL in Atlanta. The Falcons are averaging just over 71 yards per game on the ground and have a depleted corps of wide receivers, so expect the Cardinals to be aggressive and come at Atlanta QB Chandler with a variety of blitz packages. The Cardinals have confidence in a secondary anchored by LDC Aeneas Williams and will not hesitate to leave their corners in single coverage to get in Chandler's face. Chandler is much less effective when he is forced out of the pocket and has to throw on the run, so expect to see SS Kwame Lassiter on the line of scrimmage for much of the day. The Cardinals' defense has been solid for most of the year despite all the team's injuries, aside from a letdown last week against Buffalo. LOLB Rob Fredrickson has been a bright spot playing over the opposing offense's TE, so he should be able to neutralize Atlanta's O.J. Santiago, who has had an awful year to this point. Special teams
Atlanta's Ray Buchanan will apply press man coverage to Rob Moore and can afford to, because of his quickness and fluent backpedal. Moore runs excellent routes and has a significant height advantage over the 5-foot 9-inch Buchanan, he'll use both to his advantage.
The success of the Falcon's running attack is predicated on Christian, and his ability to kick opposing linebackers out of running lanes. McKinnon is a tough assignment for the slow-footed Christian, because of how McKinnon's speed allows him to cover so much ground. Christian will need to know where McKinnon is at all times, locating him before McKinnon can get to the ball carrier.
Shelton has had an up and down season, in which he is making progress mentally each week by facing different looks. Archambeau will be coming hard at Shelton for all four quarters, Shelton must limit the mental breakdowns on Sunday, because they all we be capitalized on by Archambeau. Arizonawill win if...
Atlanta will win if...
The War Room edge
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