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Thursday, August 31 ESPN.com | ||||||||||||||||
Vikings (7-4) at Bucs (7-4)
Why to watch: These two streaking teams are tied with Detroit for first place in the NFC Central. The winner will emerge with at least a share of first and as the hottest team in the NFC. In the first meeting between these two, the Vikings jumped to a 21-0 lead and then held for a 21-14 victory at the Metrodome in Week 4. Folks in Minnesota will also remember that the Vikes' only loss last season came in a 27-24 defeat at Tampa Bay. The Bucs have hosted just three Monday Night Football games in their 24-year history, so Raymond James Stadium should be pretty lively for this one.
Who to watch:
Even Vikings RB Robert Smith, who topped the 100-yard mark last week, is getting into the act now that he's finally healthy. Vikings WR Jake Reed also caught a TD pass in last week's win over San Diego, marking the first time that Carter, Moss and Reed all reached the end zone in the same game. Minnesota has been using a two-receiver, one-back set with two tight ends to keep opposing defenses from double-teaming its wideouts. Needless to say, the pressure will definitely be on Bucs CBs Donnie Abraham and Ronde Barber. The Bucs' strength is in their front seven, so DE Chidi Ahanotu (5½ sacks) and DT Warren Sapp (10½ sacks) can help out the corners by putting some pressure on George. Bucs LB Derrick Brooks is a disruptive force all over the field and leads the team with 102 tackles. Bucs QB Shaun King makes his first NFL start in place of Trent Dilfer, who's out four to eight weeks with a broken right clavicle. Just as they did last week in Seattle, the Bucs will need to keep things simple for their rookie QB and avoid getting into a shootout with the Vikes. That means Bucs FB Mike Alstott and RB Warrick Dunn must control the clock and keep Minnesota off the field. Bucs WR Jacquez Green is the team's best big-play threat. Bucs RT Jerry Wunsch will need to keep Vikings DE John Randle away from King.
Vikings' numbers to know:
Bucs' numbers to know:
What it means: If the Vikings offense can keep putting up big numbers, Minnesota is capable of running the table the rest of the season. That probably wouldn't be enough to catch the Rams for home-field advantage, but it would get the Vikes their second consecutive division title. This trip to Tampa certainly represents the toughest remaining test for the Purple Gang.
Sean Salisbury's breakdown The Vikings can't get behind against the Bucs. They might have several weapons, but last year Tampa Bay got ahead of Minnesota and handed the ball off to Alstott to kill the clock, saddling the Vikings with their only regular-season loss. The Vikings must avoid letting Sapp and John Lynch control the game. Watch how often Lynch, the strong safety, is hovering near the line of scrimmage. The Vikings need to get speed running the ball toward the edges with Smith, who ran for 105 yards against the Chargers last week. But I don't think the Vikings will win by lining up and running the ball. They will have to win throwing because Tampa Bay is too stout against the run. The Vikings will run a lot of motion, shifting players around in order to confuse the Bucs. They need to beat the Bucs with schemes more than just trying to win with execution because most of the time the Bucs defense will be in the right position. Like every team playing against a young quarterback, the Vikings should be in good shape if they can stop the run and pressure King.
Bucs' game plan: Expect the Bucs to throw and use play-action more on first down, then on second and third downs, keep the ball out of Minnesota's hands with the running game. I expect Tampa Bay to make a few big plays in the game. On defense, Tony Dungy will not sell out on the blitz. He will play mostly two-deep coverage. He knows how good Carter and Moss are, and he won't let them beat his defense with the home-run ball. If the Bucs don't turn the ball over in their end, they can beat Minnesota at home with the rookie quarterback.
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