With the ACC voting to expand by three teams, the landscape in college football may be changing. While there are more questions than answers right now, here's a look at just a few of the possible fallout scenarios.
The current alignment
ACC
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Big East
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Big Ten
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Big 12
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C-USA
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Clemson Duke Florida State Georgia Tech Maryland, North Carolina N.C. State Virginia Wake Forest
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Boston College
Connecticut
Georgetown**
Miami
Notre Dame**
Pittsburgh
Providence**
Rutgers
Seton Hall**
St. John's**
Syracuse
Temple*
Villanova**
Virginia Tech
West Virginia
*=FB only
**=BB only
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Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Northwestern
Ohio State
Penn State
Purdue
Wisconsin
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Baylor
Colorado
Iowa State
Kansas
Kansas St.
Missouri
Nebraska
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Texas
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
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Army*
Charlotte**
Cincinnati
DePaul**
East Carolina
Houston
Louisville
Marquette**
Memphis
South Florida
Southern Miss
Saint Louis**
TCU
Tulane
UAB
*=FB only
**=BB only
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ACC becomes a dominant conference
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ACC: Keeps nine current members and adds Miami, Boston College plus either Syracuse or Virginia Tech.
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Big East: Keeps football playing schools Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Temple, Syracuse/Virginia Tech and West Virginia and adds Cincinnati, Louisville, Marshall, Memphis and two of the following three: East Carolina, South Florida or UCF.
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Big Ten: Keeps 11 current members.
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Big 12: Keeps 12 current members.
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New kid: Catholic League forms and includes Dayton, DePaul, Georgetown, Marquette, Notre Dame (except football), Providence, Seton Hall, St. John's, Villanova, Xavier
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What it means: ACC and Big East both have 12 football-playing schools -- can you say conference championship game? -- in addition to a solid basketball league. Catholic schools all don't play football, so basketball is the driving force in all decisions. Big East survives, but with Miami leaving, it likely loses its automatic BCS bid while Conference USA now scrambles to rebuild -- or faces extinction.
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The Big East protects its own
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ACC: Keeps nine current members.
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Big East: Keeps Boston College, Connecticut, Miami, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Syracuse, Virginia Tech and West Virginia, but adds Louisville and -- dare to dream -- Notre Dame
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Big Ten: Keeps 11 current members.
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Big 12: Keeps 12 current members.
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What it means: Big East's dream scenario, especially if it convinces the Irish to play football in the conference. The conference stays together for football, but jettison's its basketball-only schools to the Catholic League. ACC is the big loser, failing to get Miami, Boston College, Syracuse or Virginia Tech. C-USA remains in limbo.
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Another Big 12?
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ACC: Keeps nine current members and adds Miami, Boston College plus either Syracuse or Virginia Tech.
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Big East: Keeps football playing schools Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Temple, Syracuse/Virginia Tech and West Virginia and adds Cincinnati, Louisville, Marshall, Memphis and two of the following three: East Carolina, South Florida or UCF.
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Big Ten: Adds Pittsburgh
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Big 12: Unaffected
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What it means: Now the Big Ten gets into the mix, plucking Pittsburgh from the Big East and getting to 12 teams to set up its own football title game. Big East rebuilds by raiding the MAC and C-USA. Pittsburgh is one of 37 I-A schools in the Association of American Universities, an upper-crust group of academe. All 11 Big Ten schools are members, and the presidents won't even consider a team that isn't. The academic credentials are there. But Pittsburgh doesn't bring many new TV sets. Plus, will the Big Ten expand just to get a title game? Money isn't usually an issue there.
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Another Big 12 -- Take II
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ACC: Keeps nine current members and adds Miami, Boston College plus either Syracuse or Virginia Tech.
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Big East: Keeps football playing schools Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Temple, Syracuse/Virginia Tech and West Virginia and adds Cincinnati, Louisville, Marshall, Memphis and two of the following three: East Carolina, South Florida or UCF.
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Big Ten: Adds Missouri
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Big 12: Scrambles for 12th team.
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What it means: Now the Big 12 is involved, losing Missouri to the Big Ten, which wants to expand into another state and another big television market (St. Louis). Big 12 is made up mostly of big state schools so it may be a tough match to fill the spot, but TCU, Tulane or Colorado State could be a match here. But, after having been burned by having the championship game and losing possible BCS bids, is the conference in a huge hurry to find a 12th member?
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Penn State saves the Big East
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ACC: Keeps nine current members and adds Miami, Boston College plus either Syracuse or Virginia Tech.
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Big East: Adds Penn State, Louisville, Cincinnati
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Big Ten: Goes back to 10 teams
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Big 12: Unaffected.
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What it means: Penn State keeps the Big East respectable and helps it hold on to its automatic BCS bid. This also makes the Nittany Lions the big fish in a small pond (no offense to either Syracuse, BC, or Va. Tech) and has a much easier road to the BCS. The Big Ten actually lives up to its name and C-USA is again left scrambling to fill some holes.
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Another Big 12 -- Take III
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ACC: Keeps nine current members and adds Miami, Boston College plus either Syracuse or Virginia Tech.
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Big East: Keeps football playing schools Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Temple, Syracuse/Virginia Tech and West Virginia and adds Cincinnati, Louisville, Marshall, Memphis and two of the following three: East Carolina, South Florida or UCF.
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Big Ten: Adds Notre Dame.
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Big 12: Unaffected.
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What it means: Not wanting to let the ACC steal all the spotlight, the Big Ten is now as powerful as any conference in the country after adding the Irish and is also deep enough now to have a conference championship game. This also possibly puts pressure on the Pac-10 to add two more teams (San Diego State? UNLV? BYU? Utah?) to be able to have a conference title game, since they'd be the only conference with an automatic BCS bid that wouldn't have a championship game.
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The Big East strikes back
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ACC: Left stunned.
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Big East: Keeps football playing schools Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Temple, Syracuse/Virginia Tech and West Virginia and adds Florida State, Maryland, Louisville, Cincinnati
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Big Ten: Unaffected.
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Big 12: Unaffected.
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What it means: Instead of being raided, the Big East makes a bold move and raids the ACC of two of its marquee teams and one of its big TV markets. The Big East also adds Louisville and Cincinnati and suddenly has a conference championship game as well. Meanwhile, the ACC is wondering what hit them and likely raids the MAC and C-USA (hello East Carolina) to fill the void. |
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