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 Thursday, April 20
Braves minor-league report
 
 By John Sickels
Special to ESPN.com

System overview
A productive farm system is part of Atlanta's long-term strategy to remain consistently competitive. Although the organization is rather thin at the upper levels, especially in hitting, the Braves pour resources into the system at a rate that many clubs cannot or will not match.

There is another strong group of pitchers on the way up. The Braves love to sign young pitchers with live arms, even if their track records are a bit spotty or inconsistent. They aren't afraid to go after high school pitchers, and have a better record than most organizations at developing them into useful performers. High-profile first-round failures like Jacob Shumate are balanced by success stories such as Kevin Millwood, an 11th-round pick. John Rocker was an 18th-round pick who developed into a first-class reliever.

Hitting is another matter. The Braves love to go after athletes with tools, which can reap great rewards (Andruw Jones) as well as big busts. George Lombard suffered through a miserable 1999 season, though he is young enough to rebound. Beyond him, there are few position players ready to help, though Rafael Furcal may jump from A-ball to the majors in 2000, if current rumors are to be believed. The Braves do have a set of intriguing infielders, but depth at outfield and catcher is a problem.

By relying on their strong international scouting program to continually stock the system, the Braves give themselves some slack, allowing them to take risks in the draft without fear of one bad class gutting the organization.

1999 Minor League W-L Percentage: .496 (ranked 16th)

1999 amateur draft
The 1999 draft was a prototype Atlanta effort, heavy with high school talent.

The signing of Brian Jordan cost the Braves' their first-round pick, but they feel they received a quality arm in second-rounder Matt Butler, a high school pitcher from Mississippi. He is a typical Atlanta draftee: a prep pitcher from the Deep South with a live arm.

Third-rounder Pat Manning, a high school shortstop from California, hit .416 in rookie ball, earning a promotion to the South Atlantic League, where he held his own. Most first-round picks can't do that, which puts Manning on the fast track, at least with the bat. Fourth-rounder Alec Zumwalt, a high school outfielder from North Carolina, has tremendous power, but is not polished. He will not advance nearly as quickly as either Manning or Butler.

The Braves didn't pick a college player until the fifth round, selecting Matt McClendon, a right-hander from the University of Florida. A potential first-round pick before the season, McClendon's velocity dropped last year, hurting his status. The Braves altered his mechanics after he signed, getting his fastball back to 96 mph, while improving his curve. He could be a major steal, and a big feather in the caps of the scouting department.

Top prospects
1) Rafael Furcal, SS: An excellent defensive shortstop with great speed and gap power, Furcal's lack of patience in high A-ball is the only worry I have. The Braves are talking about rushing him. He can't be any worse than Walt Weiss or Ozzie Guillen in the short run, and will be much better long-term.

2) Luis Rivera, RHP: Held to 67 innings by blisters, Rivera has a 97-mph fastball and a decent curve. He may end up in relief if stamina is a problem.

3) Marcus Giles, 2B: Improved his defense substantially, while remaining an effective hitter. Quilvio Veras will keep the position warm for another year or two until Giles is ready.

4) Scott Sobkowiak, RHP: 6-5, 230-pounder with a 93-mph fastball and a solid curve. Posted 2.84 ERA with 161 strikeouts in 139 innings at Myrtle Beach.

5) Jason Marquis, RHP: Younger than Sobkowiak and gets more press, but limited to 87 innings by elbow and shoulder trouble. Throws 95 mph with curve and change when healthy.

Others of note
George Lombard, OF: Awesome physical tools, but hit just .208 at Richmond. Injuries were a contributing factor, and he played well in the Arizona Fall League. Has a fine work ethic to go with natural tools.

Wilson Betemit, SS: On Furcal's tail, has less speed but a similar player in other ways.

Jung Bong, LHP: Korean lefty with 94-mph fastball. Sally League stats were mediocre, but Bong could develop rapidly.

Winston Abreu, RHP: Another hard-thrower limited by injury, but with immense potential if healthy.

Other names to know: Matt Belisle, RHP; Junior Brignac, OF; Troy Cameron, 3B; Richard Dishman, RHP; Nick Green, 2B; Mike Hessman, 3B; Adam Johnson, OF; Ryan Langerhans, OF; Ryan Lehr, 1B; Derrick Lewis, RHP; Asdrubal Oropeza, 3B; Justo Rivas, OF.

John Sickels is the author of the 2000 STATS Minor League Scouting Notebook. You can email your questions to him at JASickels@AOL.com.
 



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